Trading Strategy
Hi everybody. This account will use crossing EMA indicator to enter and close trades. I use FIVE products to smooth performance and leverage level.
In addition, I use partial closes to catch quick sideways moves of market prices.
Winning trades will be less than losing ones (about 42% versus 58%), but very larger (about 2,50 times). The average winning trade is 70 pips, and the average losing trade is 28 pips.
It results in a HUGE advantage of about 47%.
In other words, every 100 closed trades with identical volumes, we will win (42 trades * 70 medium pips) = win 2.940 pips, and we will lose (58 trades* 28 medium pips) = lose 1.624 pips. The result is (2.940 – 1.624) = 1.316 pips every 100 trades = 13,16 pips average trade profit.
How to calculate 47% advantage?
Follow this formula:
42 (winning trades percentage) * 2,50 (winning trades worth) = 105.
58 (losing trades percentage) * 1,00 (losing trades worth) = 58.
105 – 58 = + 47%. This is our advantage, and it is simply DEVASTATING.
If it was:
50 (winning trades percentage) * 1 (winning trades worth) = 50.
50 (losing trades percentage) * 1 (losing trades worth) = 50.
50 – 50 = 0%. No advantage, for anybody.
If it was (as RED-BLACK on Single Zero Casino Roulette, every 37 numbers):
18 (winning numbers among 37) * 1 (winning numbers worth) = 18.
19 (losing numbers among 37) * 1 (losing numbers worth) = 19.
So:
18 / 37 = 48,6486% (winning numbers expected percentage)
19 / 37 = 51,3514% (losing numbers expected percentage)
48,6486% (winning numbers percentage) * 1 (winning trades worth) = 48,6486.
51,3514% (losing trades percentage) * 1 (losing trades worth) = 51,3514.
48,6486 – 51,3514 = – 2,70%. This is HOUSE advantage.
Now few words about risk management.
My initial declaration wass very risky: I'll gradually let it be more reasonable.
Max DD expected: – 25%.
Max DL expected: – 12,50%.
Max leverage used: 50 (exceptionally).
In my backtesting I've realized about a 40% medium monthly profit. So I expect to double account's capital about every TWO MONTHS.
It is a + 6.300% yearly profit! In TWO years, 1.000 EUR turn into 1.000 * 64 * 64 = 1.000 * 4.096 = over 4.000.000 EUR!!!
Enjoy!
Link to this declaration
